Slow structural indicators (World Bank, UNHCR) that calibrate how event activity is interpreted. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Fragility: low · 1/100Inflation 3.31% · Unemployment 1.52% · Population under 15 22.86% · Displaced (refugees + IDPs) 0.02%
Population · 2025
101.6M
GDP (US$) · 2025
$514.7B
GDP per capita · 2025
$5,066
Inflation · 2025
3.3%
Unemployment · 2025
1.5%
Refugees (origin) · 2025
20,636
Market & economic exposure
Structural channels through which escalation in Vietnam has historically moved global markets. Direction/strength are typical historical reactions, not a forecast or investment advice.
Strait of Malacca / South China Sea
✈ 154 aircraft · 112% of normal🌐 100% connectivity
▲Brent crudemedium~1/3 of world seaborne trade and much of Asia's oil imports transit Malacca.
Historically (29 escalation days): median +8.94% over 5d · matched the expected direction 83% of the time
▲Asia–Europe shippingmediumAlternative routes are longer and congested.