Slow structural indicators (World Bank, UNHCR) that calibrate how event activity is interpreted. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Fragility: low · 1/100Inflation 2.08% · Unemployment 3.04% · Population under 15 23.62% · Displaced (refugees + IDPs) 0.01%
Population · 2025
37.0M
GDP (US$) · 2025
$1.3T
GDP per capita · 2025
$34,537
Inflation · 2025
2.1%
Unemployment · 2025
3.0%
Refugees (origin) · 2025
2,368
Market & economic exposure
Structural channels through which escalation in Saudi Arabia has historically moved global markets. Direction/strength are typical historical reactions, not a forecast or investment advice.
Strait of Hormuz / Persian Gulf
✈ 107 aircraft · 103% of normal🌐 100% connectivity
▲Brent crudehigh~20–25% of seaborne oil transits the Strait of Hormuz.
Historically (81 escalation days): median +3.96% over 5d · matched the expected direction 67% of the time