287 active events in Russia right now, plus 3 recorded in the last 30 days. Every event is sourced and cross-verified.
⚠ Coverage in this country is structurally limited (censorship / restricted press). Event counts understate reality; physical signals (satellite fires, earthquakes, internet connectivity) remain reliable.
Slow structural indicators (World Bank, UNHCR) that calibrate how event activity is interpreted. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Fragility: low · 2/100Inflation 8.72% · Unemployment 2.13% · Gov. debt / GDP 17.85% · Population under 15 17.03% · Displaced (refugees + IDPs) 0.07%
Population · 2025
143.5M
GDP (US$) · 2025
$2.6T
GDP per capita · 2025
$17,547
Inflation · 2025
8.7%
Unemployment · 2025
2.1%
Gov. debt / GDP · 2024
18%
Refugees (origin) · 2025
99,360
Market & economic exposure
Structural channels through which escalation in Russia has historically moved global markets. Direction/strength are typical historical reactions, not a forecast or investment advice.
Black Sea / Ukraine–Russia
✈ 27 aircraft · 77% of normal🌐 100% connectivity⛽ 17.4 TWh/d · 104% of normal
▲Wheat (CBOT)highUA+RU ~25–30% of world wheat exports; Black Sea ports/export corridor.
▲Corn / Sunflower oilhighUkraine is a major exporter of corn and sunflower oil.
▲European gas (TTF)mediumRussian gas/pipeline dependence + infrastructure risk.
▲Palladium / NickelmediumRussia is a dominant producer of palladium and nickel.
Russia (energy & commodities)
🌐 100% connectivity⛽ 17.4 TWh/d · 104% of normal
▲European gas (TTF)highHistorical gas dependence + pipeline/infrastructure risk.
▲Brent crudemediumRussia is one of the largest crude exporters; sanctions/export risk.
Historically (58 escalation days): median +0.75% over 5d · matched the expected direction 53% of the time
▲PalladiumhighRussia ~40% of world palladium (auto catalytic converters).