Slow structural indicators (World Bank, UNHCR) that calibrate how event activity is interpreted. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Fragility: low · 2/100Inflation 0.97% · Unemployment 3.25% · Population under 15 24.32% · Displaced (refugees + IDPs) 0%
Population · 2025
5.5M
GDP (US$) · 2025
$109.6B
GDP per capita · 2025
$19,947
Inflation · 2025
1.0%
Unemployment · 2025
3.3%
Refugees (origin) · 2025
133
Market & economic exposure
Structural channels through which escalation in Oman has historically moved global markets. Direction/strength are typical historical reactions, not a forecast or investment advice.
Strait of Hormuz / Persian Gulf
✈ 92 aircraft · 91% of normal🌐 100% connectivity
▲Brent crudehigh~20–25% of seaborne oil transits the Strait of Hormuz.
Historically (39 escalation days): median +5.02% over 5d · matched the expected direction 64% of the time