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Lebanon — live crisis map

1 active event in Lebanon right now, plus 2 recorded in the last 30 days. Every event is sourced and cross-verified.

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Active by category

Conflict

Country context

Slow structural indicators (World Bank, UNHCR) that calibrate how event activity is interpreted. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Fragility: low · 18/100Inflation 14.6% · Unemployment 10.99% · Population under 15 25.59% · Displaced (refugees + IDPs) 1.26%

Population · 2025

5.8M

GDP (US$) · 2024

$26.0B

GDP per capita · 2024

$4,473

Inflation · 2025

14.6%

Unemployment · 2023

11.0%

Refugees (origin) · 2025

9,568

Internally displaced · 2025

64,417

Market & economic exposure

Structural channels through which escalation in Lebanon has historically moved global markets. Direction/strength are typical historical reactions, not a forecast or investment advice.

Israel / Levant / East Med

🌐 100% connectivity

▲Brent crudemediumRegional escalation raises the oil risk premium (spillover risk toward Hormuz).

Historically (50 escalation days): median +3.67% over 5d · matched the expected direction 62% of the time

▲GoldmediumSafe-haven demand rises under geopolitical stress.

▲USD/ILS (shekeli)mediumThe shekel weakens (USD/ILS up) in escalation: capital flight + risk premium.

Historically (52 escalation days): median -0.02% over 5d · matched the expected direction 48% of the time

▲East Med gaslowDisruption risk to Israeli/Egyptian gas fields and pipelines.

Latest events

Israeli airstrike — Southern Lebanon

moderate · Southern Lebanon, Lebanon · 2026-08-27

Data aggregated and cross-verified by Crisight (Nordic Vision Oy). For programmatic access and the full archive, see Crisight Pro.