31 active events in Iran right now, plus 3 recorded in the last 30 days. Every event is sourced and cross-verified.
⚠ Coverage in this country is structurally limited (censorship / restricted press). Event counts understate reality; physical signals (satellite fires, earthquakes, internet connectivity) remain reliable.
Slow structural indicators (World Bank, UNHCR) that calibrate how event activity is interpreted. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Fragility: moderate · 33/100Inflation 42.17% · Unemployment 8.3% · Population under 15 22.02% · Displaced (refugees + IDPs) 0.17%
Population · 2025
92.4M
GDP (US$) · 2025
$362.7B
GDP per capita · 2025
$3,924
Inflation · 2025
42.2%
Unemployment · 2025
8.3%
Refugees (origin) · 2025
157,912
Market & economic exposure
Structural channels through which escalation in Iran has historically moved global markets. Direction/strength are typical historical reactions, not a forecast or investment advice.
Strait of Hormuz / Persian Gulf
✈ 99 aircraft · 98% of normal🌐 100% connectivity
▲Brent crudehigh~20–25% of seaborne oil transits the Strait of Hormuz.
Historically (46 escalation days): median +3.96% over 5d · matched the expected direction 65% of the time