Slow structural indicators (World Bank, UNHCR) that calibrate how event activity is interpreted. Descriptive, not a forecast.
Fragility: low · 23/100Inflation -0.31% · Unemployment 26.02% · Population under 15 28.8% · Displaced (refugees + IDPs) 0.19%
Population · 2025
1.2M
GDP (US$) · 2025
$4.6B
GDP per capita · 2025
$3,906
Inflation · 2025
-0.3%
Unemployment · 2025
26.0%
Refugees (origin) · 2025
2,223
Market & economic exposure
Structural channels through which escalation in Djibouti has historically moved global markets. Direction/strength are typical historical reactions, not a forecast or investment advice.
Red Sea / Bab-el-Mandeb / Suez
✈ 20 aircraft · 154% of normal🌐 100% connectivity
▼Suez transit volumehighShips reroute around the Cape of Good Hope → +10–14 days.
▲Container freight (Asia–Europe)highRerouting raises freight rates and delivery times.
▲Brent crudemediumPart of oil/LNG flows transit Bab-el-Mandeb.
Historically (38 escalation days): median +5.02% over 5d · matched the expected direction 63% of the time
Latest events
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Data aggregated and cross-verified by Crisight (Nordic Vision Oy). For programmatic access and the full archive, see Crisight Pro.
Djibouti crisis map — live events & alerts — Crisight