Map / Country

Bahrain — live crisis map

No active events in Bahrain right now. 0 were recorded in the last 30 days. Crisight aggregates verified authority and news sources in real time.

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Country context

Slow structural indicators (World Bank, UNHCR) that calibrate how event activity is interpreted. Descriptive, not a forecast.

Fragility: low · 9/100Inflation -0.14% · Unemployment 1.1% · Gov. debt / GDP 111.6% · Population under 15 18.42% · Displaced (refugees + IDPs) 0.02%

Population · 2025

1.6M

GDP (US$) · 2025

$49.0B

GDP per capita · 2025

$30,597

Inflation · 2025

-0.1%

Unemployment · 2025

1.1%

Gov. debt / GDP · 2020

112%

Refugees (origin) · 2025

267

Market & economic exposure

Structural channels through which escalation in Bahrain has historically moved global markets. Direction/strength are typical historical reactions, not a forecast or investment advice.

Strait of Hormuz / Persian Gulf

✈ 92 aircraft · 91% of normal🌐 100% connectivity

▲Brent crudehigh~20–25% of seaborne oil transits the Strait of Hormuz.

Historically (39 escalation days): median +5.02% over 5d · matched the expected direction 64% of the time

▲LNG (Qatar)highQatar's LNG exports transit Hormuz.

▲GoldmediumSafe-haven demand rises under geopolitical stress.

▲VIX (volatility)highGlobal risk premium/volatility spikes sharply in a broad escalation.

Historically (41 escalation days): median -0.59% over 5d · matched the expected direction 41% of the time

▼MSCI Emerging MarketsmediumAn oil shock plus risk-off weighs on EM equities.

▲Shipping insurance (war risk)highWar-risk insurance premiums rise sharply.

Latest events

No active events to show.

Data aggregated and cross-verified by Crisight (Nordic Vision Oy). For programmatic access and the full archive, see Crisight Pro.